Acknowledging the battle isn’t over, and the losses are real and mounting, but steady progress toward victory is clear.

Despite the ongoing nature of the conflict and the fact that hostages have not been returned, Israel’s position in its war against Hamas, Hezbollah, and their backers in Iran is increasingly robust. The enemies of Israel have not been fully defeated, but the trends suggest that Israel is achieving significant strategic victories. Over recent months, Israel’s actions have not only placed Hamas in a defensive position but have also significantly deterred Hezbollah and shown Iran that Israeli retribution is both credible and precise. This evolving situation can be understood by examining the reasons behind Israel’s current advantage.

1. Hamas Contained and Depleted

Hamas, which once posed a substantial threat to Israeli security, finds itself in a weakened position. Israeli military operations have systematically targeted Hamas’ infrastructure, leadership, and weapons supply lines. The group’s capacity to launch effective attacks has been significantly reduced, evidenced by the relative decrease in rocket fire and the dismantling of many of its terror tunnels. The effectiveness of the Iron Dome missile defense system has further thwarted Hamas’ ability to inflict significant damage, undermining their primary strategy of mass rocket attacks.

Furthermore, Israeli intelligence operations have successfully infiltrated Hamas’ command structure, resulting in high-profile targeted killings of key figures. This disruption has not only lowered morale within Hamas but has also sown distrust among its ranks, complicating their operational effectiveness.

2. Hezbollah Deterred and Distracted

While Hezbollah remains a potent force, its involvement in the Syrian civil war has drained resources and diverted attention away from its campaigns against Israel. Hezbollah’s military infrastructure in Lebanon has been repeatedly targeted by Israeli airstrikes, with the IDF demonstrating its capability to strike deep within Lebanese territory at will. The group’s leadership is aware that any major escalation could result in devastating Israeli retaliation, a risk they have been reluctant to take.

In addition, the Israeli threat of full-scale military engagement serves as a powerful deterrent. Hezbollah’s leadership knows that another war with Israel could bring massive destruction to Lebanon, a prospect that has made them more cautious in their approach.

3. Iran Intimidated by Israeli Precision and Reach

Iran’s role as the primary financier and arms supplier to Hamas and Hezbollah is well-documented. However, Israel has demonstrated its capability to strike Iranian interests both within the region and inside Iran itself. The precision assassination of top Iranian nuclear scientists and military figures has sent a clear message that Israel’s reach is long and its intelligence capabilities are formidable.

Moreover, Israel’s proactive measures, including cyber-attacks and economic sanctions, have further hampered Iran’s ability to project power. Tehran’s fear of Israeli reprisals has limited its willingness to openly escalate, instead opting for more covert and deniable methods, which have been less effective.

4. Strengthened Israeli Alliances and Intelligence Cooperation

Israel’s strengthening relationships with key regional and international powers have bolstered its strategic position. The Abraham Accords have opened new avenues for intelligence sharing and military cooperation with Arab states that also view Iran and its proxies as threats. This cooperation has provided Israel with greater strategic depth and enhanced its intelligence capabilities, allowing for preemptive actions against potential threats.

The United States’ continued support, including military aid and diplomatic backing, further solidifies Israel’s security stance. The sharing of intelligence and technology between the two nations has kept Israel at the forefront of military innovation, maintaining a technological edge over its adversaries.

5. Domestic Resilience and Military Readiness

The Israeli public has shown remarkable resilience in the face of ongoing threats, supporting a robust military response to aggression. The IDF’s readiness and ability to rapidly mobilize have been key factors in its ability to contain threats and respond effectively to attacks. Continuous training and adaptation to new types of warfare, including cyber warfare and urban combat, have ensured that Israel remains prepared for various scenarios.

6. Bouncing Back from October 7 Trauma

The events of October 7, 2023, will forever be etched in the collective memory of Israeli society as a day of profound trauma. The surprise attack by Hamas, which led to significant casualties and the capture of hostages, shook the nation to its core. The grief and anger felt by Israelis over the loss of loved ones and the violation of their homeland’s security are palpable and will undoubtedly leave lasting scars.

However, Israel’s response to this tragedy has been marked by resilience and a determination to not only recover but to turn a dire situation into an opportunity for strategic advantage. The immediate military response, marked by precision airstrikes and targeted raids, showcased Israel’s capability to quickly regain control and retaliate with force. The outpouring of solidarity among the Israeli population and the rapid mobilization of reservists further demonstrated the country’s unity and resolve.

7. Redrawing the Boundaries of Conflict

In the wake of the October 7 attack, Israel has seized the moment to reassess and potentially redraw the rules of engagement with its adversaries. By aggressively targeting Hamas’ leadership and infrastructure, Israel has not only weakened the group’s operational capabilities but has also sent a clear message to other adversaries. This recalibration of military and strategic doctrine has brought Israel closer to cutting off the legs of the Iranian octopus, weakening its proxy networks before turning its attention more directly toward Iran itself.

Conclusion: A Duty to Win

While it is crucial for Israel to continue expressing compassion and support for those who have lost loved ones, it would be an insult to the memory of those who have suffered and died to do anything less than pursue total victory. Israel’s progress in the war has been steady and, in recent months, dramatic.

Nevertheless, the fight is far from over. It would be a grave mistake to conclude the conflict prematurely or on the terms dictated by Hamas, Hezbollah, or Iran, even if a premature ceasefire may be perceived as desirable by close allies.

Israel’s continued vigilance, military readiness, and strategic adaptation will be key to securing lasting peace and security. The best tribute to the fallen is to ensure that their sacrifice leads to a future where such tragedies are no longer possible.