Biden Administration Pressures Israel to Act or Else Amid Mounting Global Criticism Over Gaza. But is the Biden Administration’s tough talk dictated by the need to puff itself up for political purposes? And will Netanyahu pay heed or stand up for his nation?
In mid-October 2024, the Biden administration delivered a stark ultimatum to Israel, demanding immediate and significant improvements in the humanitarian situation in Gaza or risk facing an arms embargo. This escalation in U.S. pressure comes as global condemnation of Israel’s ongoing military actions in Gaza grows, alongside reports of severe civilian suffering and restricted aid delivery.
The letter, signed by Secretary of State Antony Blinken, set a 30-day deadline for Israel to increase humanitarian aid access to Gaza or face the suspension of U.S. military support. “The window for humanitarian access is closing fast, and we cannot allow the humanitarian catastrophe in Gaza to deepen further without consequences,” a senior U.S. official reportedly stated. The letter made it clear that future arms transfers would depend on Israel adhering to international humanitarian standards, citing U.S. foreign aid laws such as the Leahy Law and Section 620I of the Foreign Assistance Act.
This ultimatum comes at a precarious time for the Biden administration. With the U.S. election looming in November 2024, the tough rhetoric aimed at Israel is being viewed through a political lens. Democratic leaders, especially progressive members of the party, have expressed increasing frustration over Israel’s handling of the Gaza crisis. By delivering this ultimatum, the Biden administration is attempting to appease its own base, which is growing more vocal in demanding a balanced U.S. policy that considers Palestinian humanitarian needs alongside Israel’s security concerns.
Yet, this tough stance may prove more symbolic than consequential. In 30 days, the political landscape in Washington could dramatically shift, as Democrats face a potentially devastating election outcome. Should the Democrats lose control of the White House or Congress, the leverage behind this ultimatum may disappear, along with the political will to enforce an arms embargo on Israel. Republicans have historically been staunch supporters of Israel and are unlikely to prioritize pressuring Israel over humanitarian issues in Gaza.
A senior Israeli official acknowledged this dynamic, saying, “Israel understands the political pressures in Washington, but we are confident that no matter the election outcome, the deep strategic ties between the U.S. and Israel will endure.” This reflects Israel’s calculation that the threat of an arms embargo may be temporary, depending on the results of the U.S. election.
Blinken, in addressing the ultimatum, emphasized, “Our support for Israel’s security remains unwavering, but we must balance that with our responsibility to uphold human rights and international law.” However, despite the administration’s firm language, the reality is that any lasting consequences hinge on the political future of the Biden administration itself.
As the 30-day deadline for compliance approaches, the broader political context cannot be ignored. While Israel may seek to make incremental improvements to aid access, it remains to be seen whether this will be enough to stave off the potential suspension of U.S. military aid, especially if the election results bring in an administration with a more Israel-friendly stance.
Really armament embargo? Then more devastating hurricanes and perhaps earthquakes may hit the US.
“Betrayal of trust is a despicable act of cowardice for which there can be no forgiveness as forgiveness comes at too high a price, a price men of honor must never be called upon to pay.”
Colten Irons