Nasrallah, Cowering in Bunker, Lets Hamas Fend for Itself

Nov 3, 2023 6:06 pm | Ticker, Virtual Jerusalem

Hezbollah Leader Taunts Zionist Entity in First Speech Since October 7, but Backs Off from Wider War

An atmosphere of mixed celebration and anticipation enveloped the southern suburbs of Beirut, as the sound of gunfire pierced the air. Crowds had gathered en masse to hear the anticipated address by Hassan Nasrallah, the leader of the Lebanese militant group Hezbollah, which marked his first public foray since the onset of the Israel-Hamas conflict.

Amidst the fervor, Nasrallah’s speech, delivered from inside his protective bunker and projected on a screen in Beirut, was a blend of bravado and strategic distancing. He commended the Hamas-initiated operations against Israel that resulted in substantial casualties but was quick to clarify Hezbollah’s role—or lack thereof. “This great, large-scale operation was purely the result of Palestinian planning and implementation,” he asserted, positioning the success of the October 7th incursion as a testament to Palestinian resolve rather than a Hezbollah-led initiative.

Nasrallah did not hesitate to seize the moment to highlight what he perceived as Israeli vulnerabilities, suggesting that the month-long conflict had exposed Israel’s inability to secure decisive military gains. Yet, despite his taunts directed at Israel, Nasrallah’s rhetoric implied a reluctance to entangle Hezbollah directly in the war, a move that would significantly escalate regional tensions.

Critique of international positions, particularly from the United States, was a key component of Nasrallah’s address. He denounced the rhetoric of the U.S. administration and condemned the silence on the civilian casualties in Gaza, juxtaposing it with allegations made against Hamas.

While his speech was highly anticipated as an indicator of Hezbollah’s potential escalation in the conflict, Nasrallah stopped short of committing to any direct military involvement, leaving the group’s red lines ambiguously drawn. This comes as Hezbollah’s actions along the Lebanon-Israel border, which have seen a mix of military and civilian losses, suggest a calculated approach in their engagement.

The implications of a broader conflict are profound for both Hezbollah and Israel. The balance of deterrence and the consequences of an all-out war loom over decisions on both sides, especially considering Hezbollah’s substantial arsenal and the backdrop of Lebanon’s deep economic crisis.

Nasrallah’s words have set a tone of measured support for Hamas but he has made clear that he will not risk Hezbollah for Gaza.

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